bibtype V - Research Report
ARLID 0395371
utime 20240103202848.7
mtime 20130911235959.9
ISSN 1803-7070
title (primary) (eng) Changes in Inflation Dynamics under Inflation Targeting? Evidence from Central European Countries
publisher
place Praha
name Czech National Bank
pub_time 2012
specification
page_count 40 s.
media_type P
edition
name Working paper series
volume_id 4/2012
keyword Bayesian model averaging
keyword inflation dynamics
keyword time-varying parameter model
author (primary)
ARLID cav_un_auth*0231592
name1 Baxa
name2 Jaromír
full_dept (cz) Ekonometrie
full_dept (eng) Department of Econometrics
department (cz) E
department (eng) E
institution UTIA-B
full_dept Department of Econometrics
fullinstit Ústav teorie informace a automatizace AV ČR, v. v. i.
author
ARLID cav_un_auth*0293551
name1 Plašil
name2 M.
country CZ
author
ARLID cav_un_auth*0257114
name1 Vašíček
name2 B.
country CZ
source
url http://library.utia.cas.cz/separaty/2013/E/baxa-0395371.pdf
cas_special
abstract (eng) The purpose of this paper is to provide a novel look at the evolution of inflation dynamics in selected Central European (CE) countries. We use the lens of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) nested within a time-varying framework. Exploiting a time-varying regression model with stochastic volatility estimated using Bayesian techniques, we analyze both the closed and open-economy version of the NKPC. The results point to significant differences between the inflation processes in three CE countries. While inflation persistence has almost disappeared in the Czech Republic, it remains rather high in Hungary and Poland. In addition, the volatility of inflation shocks decreased quickly a few years after the adoption of inflation targeting in the Czech Republic and Poland, whereas it remains quite stable in Hungary even after ten years’ experience of inflation targeting. Our results thus suggest that the degree of anchoring of inflation expectations varies across CE coutries.
reportyear 2014
RIV AH
num_of_auth 3
mrcbC52 4 O 4o 20231122135743.5
inst_support RVO:67985556
permalink http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0223480
arlyear 2012
mrcbTft \nSoubory v repozitáři: 0395371.pdf
mrcbU10 2012
mrcbU10 Praha Czech National Bank