bibtype V - Research Report
ARLID 0432460
utime 20240103204719.2
mtime 20141013235959.9
ISSN 1803-7070
title (primary) (eng) Inflation and the Steeplechase Between Economic Activity Variables
publisher
place Prague
name Czech National Bank
pub_time 2013
edition
name ČNB Working Papers
volume_id 15/2013
keyword dynamic model averaging
keyword inflation dynamics
keyword Phillips curve
author (primary)
ARLID cav_un_auth*0231592
name1 Baxa
name2 Jaromír
full_dept (cz) Ekonometrie
full_dept (eng) Department of Econometrics
department (cz) E
department (eng) E
institution UTIA-B
full_dept Department of Econometrics
fullinstit Ústav teorie informace a automatizace AV ČR, v. v. i.
author
ARLID cav_un_auth*0293551
name1 Plašil
name2 M.
country CZ
author
ARLID cav_un_auth*0257114
name1 Vašíček
name2 B.
country CZ
source
url http://library.utia.cas.cz/separaty/2014/E/baxa-0432460.pdf
cas_special
abstract (eng) A sharp increase in unemployment accompanied by a relatively muted response of inflation during the Great Recession added further doubts to the validity of the Phillips curve and the existence of a systemic relationship between economic activity and inflation. This paper aims to show to what extent the uncertainty about the choice of proper forcing variable contributes to the ambiguity of the evidence on the Phillips curve in the United States and other G7 countries. We use dynamic model averaging (Raftery et al., 2010), which marries the flexibility of the time-varying parameter framework with the possibility of model switching in each period. Our results show that inflation seems to respond to different measures of economic activity across time and space to a varying extent and no measure of economic activity clearly dominates in all countries or over the whole sample.
reportyear 2015
RIV AH
mrcbC52 4 O 4o 20231122140453.1
inst_support RVO:67985556
permalink http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0237104
confidential S
arlyear 2013
mrcbTft \nSoubory v repozitáři: 0432460.pdf
mrcbU10 2013
mrcbU10 Prague Czech National Bank