bibtype |
J -
Journal Article
|
ARLID |
0559305 |
utime |
20240111141107.7 |
mtime |
20220721235959.9 |
SCOPUS |
85132189903 |
WOS |
000813728300001 |
DOI |
10.1007/s11538-022-01031-5 |
title
(primary) (eng) |
Delays, Masks, the Elderly, and Schools: First Covid-19 Wave in the Czech Republic |
specification |
|
serial |
ARLID |
cav_un_epca*0256316 |
ISSN |
0092-8240 |
title
|
Bulletin of Mathematical Biology |
volume_id |
84 |
publisher |
|
|
keyword |
covid-19 pandemic |
keyword |
non-pharmaceutical interventions |
keyword |
Approximate Bayesian computation |
author
(primary) |
ARLID |
cav_un_auth*1103974 |
name1 |
Berec |
name2 |
Luděk |
institution |
BC-A |
full_dept (cz) |
ENTU - Ekologie |
full_dept (eng) |
Ecology |
full_dept |
Insect Ecology |
garant |
K |
mrcb700-q |
Univ South Bohemia, Fac Sci, Ctr Math Biol, Dept Math, Branisovska 1760, Ceske Budejovice 37005, Czech Republic, Ctr Modelling Biol & Social Proc, Na Brehu 497-15, Prague 19000 9, Czech Republic |
mrcb700-A |
0000-0002-2419-3324 |
mrcb700-B |
G-7253-2014 |
fullinstit |
Biologické centrum AV ČR, v. v. i. |
|
author
|
ARLID |
cav_un_auth*0309029 |
name1 |
Smyčka |
name2 |
J. |
country |
CZ |
mrcb701-q |
Ctr Theoret Studies, Husova 4, Prague 11000 1, Czech Republic, |
|
author
|
ARLID |
cav_un_auth*0106308 |
name1 |
Levínský |
name2 |
René |
institution |
NHU-N |
mrcb701-q |
Ctr Modelling Biol & Social Proc, Na Brehu 497-15, Prague 19000 9, Czech Republic, CERGE EI, Politickych Veznu 7, Prague 11121 1, Czech Republic |
fullinstit |
Národohospodářský ústav AV ČR, v. v. i. |
|
author
|
ARLID |
cav_un_auth*0246851 |
name1 |
Hromádková |
name2 |
Eva |
institution |
NHU-N |
full_dept |
Economics Institute |
mrcb701-q |
CERGE EI, Politickych Veznu 7, Prague 11121 1, Czech Republic, |
fullinstit |
Národohospodářský ústav AV ČR, v. v. i. |
|
author
|
ARLID |
cav_un_auth*0364006 |
name1 |
Šoltés |
name2 |
Michal |
institution |
NHU-N |
fullinstit |
Národohospodářský ústav AV ČR, v. v. i. |
|
author
|
ARLID |
cav_un_auth*0259020 |
name1 |
Šlerka |
name2 |
J. |
country |
CZ |
mrcb701-q |
Ctr Modelling Biol & Social Proc, Na Brehu 497-15, Prague 19000 9, Czech Republic, Charles Univ Prague, Fac Arts, New Media Studies, Na Prikope 29, Prague 11000 1, Czech Republic |
|
author
|
ARLID |
cav_un_auth*0283215 |
name1 |
Tuček |
name2 |
V. |
country |
CZ |
mrcb701-q |
Ctr Modelling Biol & Social Proc, Na Brehu 497-15, Prague 19000 9, Czech Republic, Univ Zagreb, Dept Math, Bijenicka 30, Zagreb 10000, Croatia |
|
author
|
ARLID |
cav_un_auth*0091778 |
name1 |
Trnka |
name2 |
J. |
country |
CZ |
mrcb701-q |
Charles Univ Prague, Fac Med 3, Dept Biochem Cell & Mol Biol, Ruska 87, Prague 10000 10, Czech Republic, |
|
author
|
ARLID |
cav_un_auth*0101206 |
name1 |
Šmíd |
name2 |
Martin |
institution |
UTIA-B |
full_dept (cz) |
Ekonometrie |
full_dept |
Department of Econometrics |
department (cz) |
E |
department |
E |
full_dept |
Department of Econometrics |
mrcb701-q |
Ctr Modelling Biol & Social Proc, Na Brehu 497-15, Prague 19000 9, Czech Republic |
fullinstit |
Ústav teorie informace a automatizace AV ČR, v. v. i. |
|
author
|
ARLID |
cav_un_auth*0237467 |
name1 |
Zajíček |
name2 |
Milan |
institution |
UTIA-B |
full_dept (cz) |
Výpočetní Středisko |
full_dept |
Computer Centre |
department (cz) |
VS |
department |
VS |
full_dept |
Department of Image Processing |
country |
CZ |
mrcb701-q |
Ctr Modelling Biol & Social Proc, Na Brehu 497-15, Prague 19000 9, Czech Republic |
fullinstit |
Ústav teorie informace a automatizace AV ČR, v. v. i. |
|
author
|
ARLID |
cav_un_auth*0402615 |
name1 |
Diviák |
name2 |
T. |
country |
GB |
mrcb701-q |
Ctr Modelling Biol & Social Proc, Na Brehu 497-15, Prague 19000 9, Czech Republic, Univ Manchester, Sch Social Sci, Dept Criminol, Oxford Rd, Manchester, England |
|
author
|
ARLID |
cav_un_auth*0100794 |
name1 |
Neruda |
name2 |
Roman |
institution |
UIVT-O |
full_dept (cz) |
Oddělení strojového učení |
full_dept |
Department of Machine Learning |
full_dept |
Department of Machine Learning |
mrcb701-q |
Ctr Modelling Biol & Social Proc, Na Brehu 497-15, Prague 19000 9, Czech Republic |
fullinstit |
Ústav informatiky AV ČR, v. v. i. |
|
author
|
ARLID |
cav_un_auth*0231277 |
name1 |
Vidnerová |
name2 |
Petra |
institution |
UIVT-O |
full_dept (cz) |
Oddělení strojového učení |
full_dept |
Department of Machine Learning |
full_dept |
Department of Machine Learning |
mrcb701-q |
Ctr Modelling Biol & Social Proc, Na Brehu 497-15, Prague 19000 9, Czech Republic |
fullinstit |
Ústav informatiky AV ČR, v. v. i. |
|
source |
|
cas_special |
project |
project_id |
EF16_013/0001740 |
agency |
GA MŠk |
country |
CZ |
ARLID |
cav_un_auth*0407173 |
|
abstract
(eng) |
Running across the globe for nearly 2 years, the Covid-19 pandemic keeps demonstrating its strength. Despite a lot of understanding, uncertainty regarding the efficiency of interventions still persists. We developed an age-structured epidemic model parameterized with epidemiological and sociological data for the first Covid-19 wave in the Czech Republic and found that (1) starting the spring 2020 lockdown 4 days earlier might prevent half of the confirmed cases by the end of lockdown period, (2) personal protective measures such as face masks appear more effective than just a realized reduction in social contacts, (3) the strategy of sheltering just the elderly is not at all effective, and (4) leaving schools open is a risky strategy. Despite vaccination programs, evidence-based choice and timing of non-pharmaceutical interventions remains an effective weapon against the Covid-19 pandemic. |
result_subspec |
WOS |
RIV |
FN |
FORD0 |
30000 |
FORD1 |
30300 |
FORD2 |
30302 |
reportyear |
2023 |
num_of_auth |
13 |
mrcbC47 |
UTIA-B 10000 10100 10103 |
mrcbC47 |
UIVT-O 10000 10200 10201 |
mrcbC47 |
NHU-N 50000 50400 50402 |
mrcbC52 |
4 A sml 4as 20231122150653.0 |
mrcbC55 |
UTIA-B BB |
mrcbC55 |
UIVT-O IN |
mrcbC55 |
NHU-N AO |
inst_support |
RVO:60077344 |
inst_support |
RVO:67985556 |
inst_support |
RVO:67985807 |
inst_support |
RVO:67985998 |
permalink |
https://hdl.handle.net/11104/0333831 |
mrcbC62 |
1 |
cooperation |
ARLID |
cav_un_auth*0297789 |
name |
Jihočeská univerzita v Českých Budějovicích, Přírodovědecká fakulta |
institution |
University of South Bohemia in České Budějovice |
country |
CZ |
|
cooperation |
ARLID |
cav_un_auth*0433294 |
name |
Ctr Modelling Biol & Social Proc, Na Brehu 497-15, Prague 19000 9, Czech Republic |
|
cooperation |
ARLID |
cav_un_auth*0433295 |
name |
Ctr Theoret Studies, Husova 4, Prague 11000 1, Czech Republic |
|
cooperation |
ARLID |
cav_un_auth*0433296 |
name |
CERGE EI, Politickych Veznu 7, Prague 11121 1, Czech Republic |
|
cooperation |
ARLID |
cav_un_auth*0297951 |
name |
Filozofická fakulta Univerzity Karlovy |
institution |
FFUK |
country |
CZ |
|
cooperation |
ARLID |
cav_un_auth*0391400 |
name |
3. lékařská fakulta Univerzity Karlovy |
institution |
3. LF UK |
country |
CZ |
|
article_num |
75 |
mrcbC86 |
n.a. Article Biology|Mathematical Computational Biology |
mrcbC91 |
C |
mrcbT16-e |
BIOLOGY|MATHEMATICALCOMPUTATIONALBIOLOGY |
mrcbT16-j |
0.773 |
mrcbT16-s |
0.591 |
mrcbT16-D |
Q3 |
mrcbT16-E |
Q3 |
arlyear |
2022 |
mrcbTft |
\nSoubory v repozitáři: 0559305_0556756_prohlaseni.pdf |
mrcbU01 |
BULLETIN OF MATHEMATICAL BIOLOGY 0092-8240 2022 84 8 |
mrcbU14 |
85132189903 SCOPUS |
mrcbU24 |
35726074 PUBMED |
mrcbU34 |
000813728300001 WOS |
mrcbU56 |
textový dokument |
mrcbU63 |
cav_un_epca*0256316 Bulletin of Mathematical Biology 0092-8240 1522-9602 Roč. 84 č. 8 2022 Springer |
|