UTIA - Library

bibtype

J - Journal Article

ARLID

0559305

utime

20250218124524.7

mtime

20220721235959.9

SCOPUS

85132189903

WOS

000813728300001

DOI

10.1007/s11538-022-01031-5

title (primary) (eng)

Delays, Masks, the Elderly, and Schools: First Covid-19 Wave in the Czech Republic

specification

page_count	25 s.

serial

ARLID

cav_un_epca*0256316

ISSN

0092-8240

title

Bulletin of Mathematical Biology

volume_id

publisher

name	Springer

keyword

covid-19 pandemic

keyword

non-pharmaceutical interventions

keyword

Approximate Bayesian computation

author (primary)

ARLID	cav_un_auth*1103974
name1	Berec
name2	Luděk
institution	BC-A
full_dept (cz)	ENTU - Ekologie
full_dept (eng)	Ecology
full_dept	Insect Ecology
garant	K
mrcb700-q	Univ South Bohemia, Fac Sci, Ctr Math Biol, Dept Math, Branisovska 1760, Ceske Budejovice 37005, Czech Republic, Ctr Modelling Biol & Social Proc, Na Brehu 497-15, Prague 19000 9, Czech Republic
mrcb700-A	0000-0002-2419-3324
mrcb700-B	G-7253-2014
fullinstit	Biologické centrum AV ČR, v. v. i.

author

ARLID	cav_un_auth*0309029
name1	Smyčka
name2	J.
country	CZ
mrcb701-q	Ctr Theoret Studies, Husova 4, Prague 11000 1, Czech Republic,

author

ARLID	cav_un_auth*0106308
name1	Levínský
name2	René
institution	NHU-N
mrcb701-q	Ctr Modelling Biol & Social Proc, Na Brehu 497-15, Prague 19000 9, Czech Republic, CERGE EI, Politickych Veznu 7, Prague 11121 1, Czech Republic
fullinstit	Ekonomický ústav AV ČR, v. v. i.

author

ARLID	cav_un_auth*0246851
name1	Hromádková
name2	Eva
institution	NHU-N
full_dept	Economics Institute
mrcb701-q	CERGE EI, Politickych Veznu 7, Prague 11121 1, Czech Republic,
fullinstit	Ekonomický ústav AV ČR, v. v. i.

author

ARLID	cav_un_auth*0364006
name1	Šoltés
name2	Michal
institution	NHU-N
fullinstit	Ekonomický ústav AV ČR, v. v. i.

author

ARLID	cav_un_auth*0259020
name1	Šlerka
name2	J.
country	CZ
mrcb701-q	Ctr Modelling Biol & Social Proc, Na Brehu 497-15, Prague 19000 9, Czech Republic, Charles Univ Prague, Fac Arts, New Media Studies, Na Prikope 29, Prague 11000 1, Czech Republic

author

ARLID	cav_un_auth*0283215
name1	Tuček
name2	V.
country	CZ
mrcb701-q	Ctr Modelling Biol & Social Proc, Na Brehu 497-15, Prague 19000 9, Czech Republic, Univ Zagreb, Dept Math, Bijenicka 30, Zagreb 10000, Croatia

author

ARLID	cav_un_auth*0091778
name1	Trnka
name2	J.
country	CZ
mrcb701-q	Charles Univ Prague, Fac Med 3, Dept Biochem Cell & Mol Biol, Ruska 87, Prague 10000 10, Czech Republic,

author

ARLID	cav_un_auth*0101206
name1	Šmíd
name2	Martin
institution	UTIA-B
full_dept (cz)	Ekonometrie
full_dept	Department of Econometrics
department (cz)	E
department	E
full_dept	Department of Econometrics
mrcb701-q	Ctr Modelling Biol & Social Proc, Na Brehu 497-15, Prague 19000 9, Czech Republic
fullinstit	Ústav teorie informace a automatizace AV ČR, v. v. i.

author

ARLID	cav_un_auth*0237467
name1	Zajíček
name2	Milan
institution	UTIA-B
full_dept (cz)	Výpočetní Středisko
full_dept	Computer Centre
department (cz)	VS
department	VS
full_dept	Department of Image Processing
country	CZ
mrcb701-q	Ctr Modelling Biol & Social Proc, Na Brehu 497-15, Prague 19000 9, Czech Republic
fullinstit	Ústav teorie informace a automatizace AV ČR, v. v. i.

author

ARLID	cav_un_auth*0402615
name1	Diviák
name2	T.
country	GB
mrcb701-q	Ctr Modelling Biol & Social Proc, Na Brehu 497-15, Prague 19000 9, Czech Republic, Univ Manchester, Sch Social Sci, Dept Criminol, Oxford Rd, Manchester, England

author

ARLID	cav_un_auth*0100794
name1	Neruda
name2	Roman
institution	UIVT-O
full_dept (cz)	Oddělení strojového učení
full_dept	Department of Machine Learning
full_dept	Department of Machine Learning
mrcb701-q	Ctr Modelling Biol & Social Proc, Na Brehu 497-15, Prague 19000 9, Czech Republic
fullinstit	Ústav informatiky AV ČR, v. v. i.

author

ARLID	cav_un_auth*0231277
name1	Vidnerová
name2	Petra
institution	UIVT-O
full_dept (cz)	Oddělení strojového učení
full_dept	Department of Machine Learning
full_dept	Department of Machine Learning
mrcb701-q	Ctr Modelling Biol & Social Proc, Na Brehu 497-15, Prague 19000 9, Czech Republic
fullinstit	Ústav informatiky AV ČR, v. v. i.

source

source_type	textový dokument
url	https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11538-022-01031-5

cas_special

project

project_id	EF16_013/0001740
agency	GA MŠk
country	CZ
ARLID	cav_un_auth*0407173

abstract (eng)

Running across the globe for nearly 2 years, the Covid-19 pandemic keeps demonstrating its strength. Despite a lot of understanding, uncertainty regarding the efficiency of interventions still persists. We developed an age-structured epidemic model parameterized with epidemiological and sociological data for the first Covid-19 wave in the Czech Republic and found that (1) starting the spring 2020 lockdown 4 days earlier might prevent half of the confirmed cases by the end of lockdown period, (2) personal protective measures such as face masks appear more effective than just a realized reduction in social contacts, (3) the strategy of sheltering just the elderly is not at all effective, and (4) leaving schools open is a risky strategy. Despite vaccination programs, evidence-based choice and timing of non-pharmaceutical interventions remains an effective weapon against the Covid-19 pandemic.

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WOS

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FORD2

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reportyear

2023

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inst_support

RVO:60077344

inst_support

RVO:67985556

inst_support

RVO:67985807

inst_support

RVO:67985998

permalink

https://hdl.handle.net/11104/0333831

mrcbC62

cooperation

ARLID	cav_un_auth*0297789
name	Jihočeská univerzita v Českých Budějovicích, Přírodovědecká fakulta
institution	University of South Bohemia in České Budějovice
country	CZ

cooperation

ARLID	cav_un_auth*0433294
name	Ctr Modelling Biol & Social Proc, Na Brehu 497-15, Prague 19000 9, Czech Republic

cooperation

ARLID	cav_un_auth*0433295
name	Ctr Theoret Studies, Husova 4, Prague 11000 1, Czech Republic

cooperation

ARLID	cav_un_auth*0433296
name	CERGE EI, Politickych Veznu 7, Prague 11121 1, Czech Republic

cooperation

ARLID	cav_un_auth*0297951
name	Filozofická fakulta Univerzity Karlovy
institution	FFUK
country	CZ

cooperation

ARLID	cav_un_auth*0391400
name	3. lékařská fakulta Univerzity Karlovy
institution	3. LF UK
country	CZ

article_num

mrcbC86

3+4 Article Biology|Mathematical Computational Biology

mrcbC91

mrcbT16-e

MATHEMATICAL&COMPUTATIONALBIOLOGY|BIOLOGY

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2.4

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0.6

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12.1

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0.00473

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0.773

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5905

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0.591

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3.200

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138

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71.3

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73.6

arlyear

2022

mrcbTft

\nSoubory v repozitáři: 0559305-fin.pdf, 0559305_0556756_prohlaseni.pdf

mrcbU01

BULLETIN OF MATHEMATICAL BIOLOGY 0092-8240 2022 84 8

mrcbU14

85132189903 SCOPUS

mrcbU24

35726074 PUBMED

mrcbU34

000813728300001 WOS

mrcbU56

textový dokument

mrcbU63

cav_un_epca*0256316 Bulletin of Mathematical Biology 0092-8240 1522-9602 Roč. 84 č. 8 2022 Springer