| bibtype |
J -
Journal Article
|
| ARLID |
0599305 |
| utime |
20250317100353.6 |
| mtime |
20241012235959.9 |
| SCOPUS |
85194381160 |
| WOS |
001231631500003 |
| DOI |
10.32065/CJEF.2024.02.03 |
| title
(primary) (eng) |
Fiscal Consolidation under Market’s Scrutiny: How Government Communication Affects Bond Yields |
| specification |
| page_count |
33 s. |
| media_type |
E |
|
| serial |
| ARLID |
cav_un_epca*0255446 |
| ISSN |
0015-1920 |
| title
|
Finance a úvěr-Czech Journal of Economics and Finance |
| volume_id |
74 |
| volume |
2 (2024) |
| page_num |
221-254 |
| publisher |
| name |
Univerzita Karlova v Praze |
|
|
| keyword |
fiscal communication |
| keyword |
bond spreads |
| keyword |
fiscal consolidation |
| author
(primary) |
| ARLID |
cav_un_auth*0474622 |
| name1 |
Sveda |
| name2 |
J. |
| country |
CZ |
|
| author
|
| ARLID |
cav_un_auth*0231592 |
| name1 |
Baxa |
| name2 |
Jaromír |
| institution |
UTIA-B |
| full_dept (cz) |
Ekonometrie |
| full_dept |
Department of Econometrics |
| department (cz) |
E |
| department |
E |
| country |
CZ |
| share |
33 |
| fullinstit |
Ústav teorie informace a automatizace AV ČR, v. v. i. |
|
| author
|
| ARLID |
cav_un_auth*0474623 |
| name1 |
Grešl |
| name2 |
A. |
| country |
CZ |
|
| source |
|
| source |
|
| cas_special |
| project |
| project_id |
GA20-14990S |
| agency |
GA ČR |
| ARLID |
cav_un_auth*0397555 |
|
| abstract
(eng) |
We estimate short-run reactions of government bond spreads of selected EU countries to prime ministers' and finance ministers' public statements about fiscal policy from 2000 to 2019. Our dataset, which is based on the Factiva database, covers news that reached the markets via Reuters. Depending on their tone, we have classified them as hawkish (committing attitude towards austerity and prudent budget) or dovish (passive/reluctant attitude) and tested their impact on credit risk premia measured by government bond yields against risk-free rate (German Bund). Our results suggest that hawkish statements and signals by prime ministers decrease the credit risk premia, but this result masks a considerable time and country variation. The effect of hawkish fiscal communication is large and statistically significant, especially after the European Sovereign Debt Crisis acknowledging ECB’s interventions, but not before or during that crisis, suggesting limited power of communication to decrease a credit risk premium when markets are under stress or insensitive to underlying fundamentals. |
| result_subspec |
WOS |
| RIV |
AH |
| FORD0 |
50000 |
| FORD1 |
50200 |
| FORD2 |
50202 |
| reportyear |
2025 |
| num_of_auth |
3 |
| inst_support |
RVO:67985556 |
| permalink |
https://hdl.handle.net/11104/0357076 |
| cooperation |
| ARLID |
cav_un_auth*0308136 |
| name |
Univerzita Karlova v Praze, Fakulta sociálních věd |
| institution |
FSV UK |
| country |
CZ |
|
| confidential |
S |
| mrcbC91 |
A |
| mrcbT16-e |
BUSINESSFINANCE |
| mrcbT16-j |
0.078 |
| mrcbT16-s |
0.16 |
| mrcbT16-D |
Q4 |
| mrcbT16-E |
Q4 |
| arlyear |
2024 |
| mrcbU14 |
85194381160 SCOPUS |
| mrcbU24 |
PUBMED |
| mrcbU34 |
001231631500003 WOS |
| mrcbU63 |
cav_un_epca*0255446 Finance a úvěr-Czech Journal of Economics and Finance Roč. 74 č. 2 2024 221 254 0015-1920 0015-1920 Univerzita Karlova v Praze |
|